Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.037769 0.040745 0.043865 0.047387 0.051258 0.055388 0.060137
2025-05-18 0.032807 0.036984 0.041604 0.047115 0.053534 0.060809 0.069719
2025-05-25 0.029561 0.034429 0.040033 0.047003 0.055499 0.065591 0.078600
2025-06-01 0.026855 0.032089 0.038306 0.046303 0.056414 0.068903 0.085700
2025-06-08 0.024605 0.030030 0.036644 0.045397 0.056813 0.071395 0.091750
2025-06-15 0.022936 0.028519 0.035486 0.044941 0.057625 0.074329 0.098457
2025-06-22 0.021532 0.027221 0.034468 0.044528 0.058374 0.077124 0.105085
2025-06-29 0.020139 0.025831 0.033216 0.043674 0.058397 0.078844 0.110228
2025-07-06 0.019407 0.025259 0.032991 0.044168 0.060275 0.083234 0.119554
2025-07-13 0.018578 0.024498 0.032449 0.044157 0.061392 0.086552 0.127483
2025-07-20 0.018009 0.024053 0.032304 0.044678 0.063282 0.091103 0.137665
2025-07-27 0.017250 0.023299 0.031675 0.044439 0.063995 0.093874 0.145178
2025-08-03 0.016559 0.022613 0.031114 0.044278 0.064828 0.096910 0.153447
2025-08-10 0.015889 0.021925 0.030512 0.044012 0.065468 0.099666 0.161466
2025-08-17 0.015316 0.021347 0.030038 0.043906 0.066337 0.102828 0.170449
2025-08-24 0.014641 0.020587 0.029252 0.043261 0.066277 0.104414 0.176701
2025-08-31 0.013964 0.019794 0.028378 0.042426 0.065841 0.105308 0.181721
2025-09-07 0.013437 0.019204 0.027787 0.042006 0.066063 0.107336 0.189037
2025-09-14 0.012954 0.018661 0.027240 0.041626 0.066319 0.109421 0.196626
2025-09-21 0.012405 0.017995 0.026472 0.040838 0.065815 0.110088 0.201429
2025-09-28 0.012173 0.017810 0.026454 0.041294 0.067510 0.114887 0.215073
2025-10-05 0.011851 0.017469 0.026171 0.041284 0.068368 0.118167 0.225858
2025-10-12 0.011651 0.017313 0.026176 0.041764 0.070133 0.123291 0.241104